By now, we all know exactly what happened in the
2000 presidential election, right?
A renegade third-party
candidate siphoned just enough votes from a major party candidate to cost him
the race.
I'm talking, of course,
about Pat Buchanan ruining what would have been George Bush's win in
Wisconsin.
You probably thought I was
detailing how Ralph Nader undermined Al Gore. Well, the one electoral theory is
as good — or as bad — as the other. In the end, Bush beat Gore no matter who the
also-rans were.
The Democrats need to
finally drop their Nader sob story and move on — even if Nader, who just
announced he's running again, hasn't.
Back in 2000, Buchanan ran
for president under the Reform Party banner. A social conservative and trade
protectionist, Buchanan was a dour version of today's lingering and likeable
presidential wanna-be Mike Huckabee.
Buchanan collected 11,471
votes in Wisconsin in 2000. Presumably, most of his votes would have gone to
Bush had he not been on the ballot.
Bush only lost Wisconsin by
5,708 votes. So without Buchanan in the race, Bush could have narrowly won here
as well as in Oregon and New Mexico. That would have given him enough of a lead
in the electoral college that Florida wouldn't have mattered.
My point is that the
electoral map can be sliced and diced in many ways to justify or deflect what
happened.
Yet the stark reality for
Democrats is that Bush won in 2000 mostly because Gore ran a poor campaign that
failed to inspire even his home state of Tennessee to support him.
Now Nader is running again,
much to the Dems' dismay. If they were smart, Democrats would stop deriding
Nader and let his waning spark extinguish on its own.
Nader collected 94,070
votes in Wisconsin in 2000. That fell to 16,390 votes in 2004. This year,
assuming he gets on the ballot, Nader will garner fewer votes than Buchanan
did.
Nader is a great American
and consumer advocate. But he'd make an awful president. He can't even get along
with his friends anymore. He sees a bogeyman behind every motive except his own.
Yet I understand Nader's
drive to run again. Every time the Democrats tell him to butt out, that's
another reason for him to jump back in.
As Nader told a Madison heckler in
2003: "Please, never tell a candidate not to
speak."
Milfred is editorial page editor for the State Journal; smilfred@madison.com or 608-252-6110.